For this reason as well as the AJSN reaching its first anniversary last month, it is a good time to look at how that measure has progressed over the past year, and since 1994. What has happened with it? First, August 2012 through August 2013.
Since the AJSN is not seasonally adjusted, it fluctuates more than measures that are. It is still within a range of about 10% from top to bottom.
The AJSN is the sum of 90% of the number of officially unemployed, plus shares from 5% to 90% of those with other employment statuses. When we subtract the number of those officially jobless, what do we get?
As we see, there has been some variation in the monthly data for other employment statuses, but they have generally increased. Here is how much of it is from official unemployment and how much of it is from everything else:
Comparing non-seasonally-adjusted unemployment to the AJSN gets us the following:
We can measure per capita AJSN to compensate for the past year’s American population increase of about 220,000 per month, and for the share of those too young. When we do that, we see:
Again, mainly just fluctuation, with, most recently, one missing job for about each 12 people old enough to work.
Here are the same charts for the past 20 July’s:
|Year (July)||AJSN||Year (July)||AJSN||Year (July)||AJSN||Year (July)||AJSN|
|1994||15.7 million||1999||13.6 million||2004||16.0 million||2009||23.3 million|
|1995||15.0 million||2000||13.3 million||2005||15.6 million||2010||23.5 million|
|1996||14.9 million||2001||14.2 million||2006||15.4 million||2011||23.4 million|
|1997||14.1 million||2002||16.2 million||2007||15.3 million||2012||22.5 million|
|1998||13.9 million||2003||16.7 million||2008||17.3 million||2013||21.5 million|