To see why, let us go back to 1948. Despite jobs being plentiful, women’s labor
force participation was only 32.7%, compared with 86.6% for men. A lot of working women were nurses, secretaries,
elementary school teachers, or in other heavily female occupations. The
idea of feminism had not made it into the mainstream, and girls were routinely
taught that their real occupations were to support their husbands. Many American families could do that, since
1948 was into the Winning by Default Years, with great prosperity and little
foreign competition, and salaries for even remotely middle-class people were
well higher, in constant dollars, than they have been for decades since.
Fast forward to 2010 and 2011. Sex discrimination in employment is
illegal. Education levels for women are
passing those of men. Most families need
two breadwinners. Women’s labor force
participation has risen to 58.6%, and for men it has fallen to 71.7%. Many jobs once held almost exclusively by men
have substantial shares of women, such as 31.9% of lawyers and 33.8% of
physicians with newcomers to both roughly evenly split. Most physical positions still have high male percentages,
but some imbalances seem to defy logic.
Why are registered nurses and mechanical engineers 91.1% and 5.5% female
respectively? Why are 97.5% of dental
hygienists women, but only 4.8% of truck drivers?
Now, on to 2013.
After Harvard president Larry Summers’ comments eight years before suggesting
that women’s underrepresentation in some technical fields might be because of statistically
lower aptitude, the idea of men and women having brain arrangement differences
has been discredited in both academia and the popular press. Yet otherwise inexplicable gaps in attitudes
and outcomes keep popping up. The
“opt-out revolution,” in which many times more women than men leave
high-powered jobs to support their families at home, has continued, ten years
after it was first publicized. Debates
on whether women can “have it all” and whether they should “lean in” by
pursuing their career advancement more aggressively have precipitated much
debate and commentary, much of it on whether women can be expected to be as
competitive, and distant from their children, as men.
Most of these changes have been favorable. There is no doubt that equal rights for women
are a good thing. The problem is when equality
of opportunity withers into a need for equality of results. Author Warren Farrell documented a
quarter-century ago that women tended to choose career paths less risky and
more comfortable both physically and emotionally, and that explained why pay
for librarians, usually required to have master’s degrees, was about the same
as that of garbage collectors, many of whom did not even finish high
school. If librarians’ pay were doubled,
the field would draw an excess of people attracted to its pleasant work
settings. Likewise, in order for much more
than 2011’s 1.1% share of roofers to be women, their pay would have to increase
well beyond the amount needed to fill available positions.
Yet this view is incomplete.
It does not explain why nurses, on their feet and dealing with life and
death, are so rarely male, or why engineers, usually in nice offices, almost
always are. Something else is
happening. I worked in information
technology, in large offices, for twenty years.
The jobs at AT&T, while well sought after, required enough
intelligence, aptitude, and specialized education, the first two measured by
testing before hiring, for only a limited set of people to be considered
acceptable. There were plenty of women
overall, but it was noteworthy that the most hard-core technical positions,
such as those requiring hexadecimal dump debugging or intensely abstract system
programming, were almost always filled by men.
There was no sign of any sex discrimination around those jobs – there as
elsewhere, people were given opportunities based on how well their skills and
interests matched the needs of the business.
The environments, fine settings with no physical strain and the only emotional
stress coming from office politics, were essentially identical to those of
similarly-paying positions at which women predominated.
It may be that we are near a high-water mark for considering
the sexes equal in all aspects of aptitudes, preferences, and what they want
from their jobs. Eventually we may be
able to accept that some groups of individuals making choices will never be demographically
identical. For now, we need to at least
consider the possibility that some careers will attract more of one sex than
the other. The real problem we face is
the job shortage, as shown by the 20 million positions that could be quickly
filled if available, the 4.1 million officially unemployed for over six months,
and much more. Distracting ourselves by
confusing equality of opportunity, which is the well-enforced law in America,
with equality of results, which even our descendants may never see, is the
wrong way to go.
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