Here we are, heading into the summer of 2014. In some ways it’s a good while until the 2016
presidential election – the midterms are
still over six months away, and it’s over 32 months before Barack Obama’s successor
takes office – but in another way it’s right around the corner. Obama seems like the lamest of lame ducks,
with little of an agenda and little chance of getting anything passed that
would require bipartisan support. As
happens consistently with two-term presidents on the back nine of their
tenures, we’re better off focusing on what can happen in 2017 than on being much
concerned with governmental change before then.
Although few presidential hopefuls have declared their
candidacy thus far, those who might officially decide to run are already, in
effect, campaigning. One way of being
noticed by the media is to give speeches and weigh in on political issues,
which, for someone as driven as a potential president, need not be taken as a commitment
to run for that office. Yet such public
appearances give the pre-candidates opportunities for easy exposure and, even
more importantly, a way to gauge national reactions to what they say.
In March, Hillary Clinton had such an engagement. On March 22nd, she opened a
program on higher education at Arizona State University, speaking to an
audience which included about 1,200 students.
She let loose some rather stock things about education in general: vocational and technical jobs should be
“respected,” community colleges should be supported, first jobs are important,
young people can get various skills at workplaces, and so on.
What she didn’t say, though, was anything about how today’s
graduates can get such jobs. Unemployment
for those who got bachelor’s degrees in 2013 is 10.9%, and not only has that
number been higher recently, it does not reflect the large numbers of graduates
who aren’t actively looking. It also
does not address underemployment, as working at low levels after completing school
has become a cliché. So what ideas has
she voiced on improving the jobs crisis?
None.
To get a baseline on Clinton’s stated political positions, I
found a compilation of them on Wikipedia.
It covers what she has said over the past ten years or more, on economic
policy, foreign policy, civil liberties and democracy, and social policy. The document gives her comments on everything
from “free-market capitalism” (she’s for it, but doesn’t want it to “run
roughshod over people’s lives”) to flag burning (she wants it illegal, but
without a constitutional amendment). The
listing of her stated views, not counting endnotes, ran to 13 pages. So what
was in it about how to create jobs, or how to set up an environment in which
more jobs would be created by others?
Nothing. Not a word.
Other possible nominees have had plenty to say on the
subject. To name only one, Rand Paul,
for all his faults, already has given us almost a book’s worth of employment
views. It’s not enough for Clinton to
say things, as she did in Tempe, such as “education is the key to unlocking
opportunity,” when everyone aware of employment trends is questioning that or
at least regretting its decreasing validity.
Sportsbook.com, a betting site which, being outside the US,
allows wagering on presidential elections, has Clinton as the prohibitive
plurality choice to be elected. The line
on her is -175, meaning that you can put down $100 and receive $275 if she
wins. If you like to make bets and think
Hillary has at least a 37% chance of becoming our 45th Chief
Executive, you should consider this one.
The shortest odds elsewhere, on the Republicans Chris Christie, Jeb
Bush, and Marco Rubio, are each -1500, meaning if you see any as more likely
than 15 to 1, you might take the site up on its offer.
However, a backlash on Clinton may be starting or even in
place. An article in Slate, with a
heavily Democratic readership, titled “7 reasons Hillary Clinton’s nomination
is far from inevitable,” came out Tuesday.
It stated in its New Liabilities section that “not enough jobs are being
created even to keep up with population growth,” since voters may want change that
she, as a 20-year high-level Washington veteran, will not be perceived as able
to offer.
The backlash is a good thing. We may, in 2016, still face a choice between
this well-established Democrat and a Republican striving to attract the center
with new ideas. A vote for her may or
may not be advisable. But now, one thing
appears clear. Hillary Clinton does not
seem likely to help the permanent jobs crisis.
Great article Jim. I've always found it amazing how the media, pundits, etc. have her as our next President and yet it's virtually impossible to find any accomplishments of substance.
ReplyDeleteThanks. Although being noncommittal is good strategy when trying not to blow a large lead, which she has in her own party right now, having no record of any opinion at all on what might be America's greatest problem takes that to an unhealthy extreme.
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