Where are we now with all five of these things?
First, time out to address Uber’s recent self-driving
pedestrian fatality. It is no shock that
this sort of thing can happen with the current state of driverless technology. Three things are almost certain to take place: the developers will research and determine
exactly what happened, they will explain it in all the detail we want, and they
will solve the problem. We should expect
no long-term slowdown.
Now, on to some general points.
First, the gig economy, which refers to people getting
one-off work assignments, is not the same as the sharing economy, in which provision
of resources, such as bedrooms, cars, and power tools, is primary.
Second, online payment and customer engagement does not make
the products offered by Uber, Lyft, and AirBnB distinct. They are de facto taxi and lodging providers
and should be subject to the same regulation as others.
Third, because of low rates of pay, which can drop even more
when pertinent expenses are included, gigs are, as Steve Tobak of Fox Business put it, “no substitute for
a career.”
Fourth, poorly accounted-for expenses, especially involving
private vehicles, often make either gig or sharing opportunities less
profitable or even unprofitable than they may seem.
Fifth, even though most gigs and sharing are economically
inferior, their effect in partially repealing the minimum wage is a good thing,
and it is wrong to object to them on grounds that they should pay more, which,
given that we are still over 16 million jobs short as well as having 5.2
million people working part-time and wanting but not finding full-time
positions, is only another way of saying “let them eat cake.”
Sixth, Uber’s business model is clearly dependent not only
on its drivers not comprehending the true impact of their car expenses but on
skirting or avoiding normal taxi regulations.
Its only long-term hope for survival, except for a top-to-bottom
management and business-practices makeover, is through driverless technology,
which, as above last week, also took a hit.
So what do we need to know?
Customers will do well to continue, as their needs and
wishes dictate, using gig and sharing services.
There is nothing immoral about hiring people or their possessions for
low rates.
Investors should stay clear of Uber, which could crash as a
company and a stock at any time. If and
when they have initial public offerings, Lyft and AirBnB may offer some
opportunity, depending on their environments at the time.
Workers should look at the full weighted costs of
participating in gig or sharing opportunities before accepting them, and
continue if they think, given all hidden expenses, they are worthwhile.
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