I can remember fears about China taking over the world, dominating certain industries, and becoming generally invincible since the 1970s. Now, despite what has clearly been American supremacy in AI, events, those old thoughts keep popping up. How valid is that concern now? Here’s what I’ve seen over the past year.
Remember the
kerfuffle about a Chinese company allegedly matching the best AI in the world
for a tiny fraction of the resources?
The oldest article here, and the latest one I’ve seen about that
product, is “China’s DeepSeek faces House probe over US data harvesting, CCP
propaganda” (Morgan Phillips, Fox News, April 24th). The House’s Energy and Commerce Committee wrote
that “DeepSeek admits to sending Americans’ personal information to servers in
China, where it is undoubtedly accessed by officials connected to the Chinese
Communist Party.” That led to three
states forbidding that company from using “government devices,” joining
“Canada, Australia, South Korea, Taiwan and Italy.” Adding that to “reports” which have
“suggested that DeepSeek trained its R1 model by “distilling” outputs from
American competitors,” we have the end of any concern, once widespread, that we
have been leapfrogged.
Overrepresentation
and posturing again appeared in “Does China Have a Robot Bubble” (Meaghan Tobin
and Xinyun Wu, The New York Times, December 17th). “Robots made by Chinese start-ups have danced
on television, staged boxing matches and run marathons,” but, while “the robots
can mimic human movement and even complete basic tasks,” “they are not skilled
enough to handle many tasks now done by people,” and “have a hard time reacting
to events as they happen.” Many humanoid
robots are produced there and are priced lower, but, given their limitations,
do not seem to have enough customers.
Maybe “Move
Fast, but Obey the Rules: China’s Vision
for Dominating A.I.” (again Meagan Tobin and Xinyun Wu in the New York Times,
February 2nd) is an improvement.
Yet there is “a tension shaping China’s tech industry,” as while its
“leadership has decided that A.I. will drive the country’s economic growth in
the next decade,” “it cannot allow the new technology to disrupt the stability
of Chinese society and the Communist Party’s hold over it.” The resulting “increasingly complex set of
rules” included each company acting “as a gatekeeper to prevent the spread of
information that the Chinese government deemed illegal,” with violations
possibly causing them “significant legal, financial and operational
consequences.” When “these systems learn
by ingesting large amounts of data,” including “internet sources, like Reddit
and Wikipedia, that contain information censored in China,” the choices of
allowing or not allowing large language models to access such storehouses are
both problematic.
On data
center projects, is it fair to say that “America must power AI with speed and
discipline – or China will dominate” (Jeff Kupfer and Brant Fewell, Fox News,
March 3rd)? Here, “AI data
center projects are encountering growing resistance,” as “in 2025 alone, at
least 25 projects were canceled, four times more than the year before,” “nearly
100 projects nationwide are now contested,” and “in December, more than 230
environmental organizations urged Congress to impose a nationwide moratorium on
new data center approvals.” While more
and more American areas do not want such construction, many still do, so even a
temporary nationwide ban would be unreasonable, and yes, if we cannot within
our borders “build the infrastructure to power it with speed and
discipline… China will.”
I had thought
that the title of “China Is Embracing OpenClaw, a New A.I. Agent, and the
Government is Wary” (once more Tobin and Wu in the Times, March 17th)
meant more Communist Party data-suppressing issues – but it did not. This popular and “versatile” new product,
which has gained admiration even from Nvidia’s CEO, has committed “leaks of
personal information,” “errors in financial transactions,” and at least once,
when it was “left… running with access to (a) credit card,” it “had run up the
card to its limit.” How quickly OpenClaw
will stop these things will determine whether its introduction, when it was,
will be seen as bold and powerful or irresponsibly premature.
Somewhat
updating the second story above was “Humanoid robots hit mass production in
China” (Kurt Knutsson, Fox News, April 9th). The subject was “a new factory in China”
making “about 10,000 units a year,” with “24 precision assembly stages” and “77
inspection steps.” Knutsson declared
that “the robotics industry has reached a turning point,” as “it is no longer
enough to show what a robot can do,” since “companies now need to prove they
can build them at scale.” Although such
factory output “signals that a company can move beyond demos and into real
deployment” with “confidence that there will be actual demand,” the pieces
above say we shouldn’t take that for granted.
Indeed, per Knutsson, while “building the body is getting easier,”
“teaching it how to function in the real world is still difficult.” Still.
I acknowledge the manufacturing progress, but will need to see stories
like this without text like that before I think humanoid robots are truly about
to achieve widespread, routine success.
After the six
articles above, I did not expect “I Went to China to See Its Progress on
A.I. We Can’t Beat It” (Sebastian
Mallaby, The New York Times, April 13th). But this author of a pertinent-sounding book
told us that “China has rolled out a series of excellent A.I. models,” building
“copycat” versions of “cutting-edge” American products through distillation,
and is now “leading” “on industrial applications,” and so, fearing not only for
our safety but that China is ahead, we should seek “nonproliferation”
agreements.
Chinese AI
certainly has its strengths, but its flaws seem greater, and while for some the
future may be theirs, the past has not been.
Chinese culture and government have not historically rewarded
independent thought nearly as much as in America, where eccentric geniuses, not
fearing or even wanting homogeneity, have kept us on the forefront of
innovation for centuries. Now, while
there are certainly orthodoxies in American thought, they have much milder
effects on identifying reality than those in China, with greater chances of
being discredited. As well, American
business transparency vastly exceeds the Chinese, and we simply cannot be sure
if they are doing what they say they are.
We will never know what they are suppressing, and our companies do not
enjoy potentially unlimited governmental support.
So, I decline
seriously worrying about Chinese AI leadership.
If OpenClaw reaches even ChatGPT and Claude security levels, and those
10,000 annually-built robots are as successful on jobsites as they seem when
leaving the factory, I will take stock.
But for now, we still lead, and not by a small margin, the artificial
intelligence world.
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