For something progressing since Willy Loman’s 1940s admonition to his son that he shouldn’t do anything menial when in one, since “they have office boys,” improvement this century so far, except for things involving telephones, has been lethargic. Will it stay that way?
For the first potential exception we have a labor-replacer,
“Biometric Payments Are Replacing Cash and Card at Grocery Stores” (Neil
Campbell, Vision Times, June 10-16).
The month before, “Mastercard announced its Biometric Checkout Program,”
which allows people, possibly laden with purchases, to authorize payments with
“a quick smile or wave.” As of press
time, the service was only used in a Sao Paulo grocery chain, but something
related has been in place in China for five years or more. I see no reason why it couldn’t work throughout
this country as well.
A sort of old laggard, long promising to employ more
specialized technicians and far fewer line workers, may be getting new life, as
shown in “3-D Printing Grows Beyond Its Novelty Roots” (Steve Lohr, The New
York Times, July 3rd). I
see no leaps and bounds here, and we knew that “we have proven the technology
works” – that is its strongest point, though one leavened by it being “too
slow, too expensive, and too ridden with defects” – but other steady, revenue
generating applications beyond the “specialized parts” that have barely
justified it are reasonable enough for one company, VulcanForms, to have “six
giant 3-D printers” with expectations for 20 more in 2023. The technology still lacks its big purpose –
until it gets one that works and fulfills high demand in practice, 3-D printing
must be considered only a niche service.
The title of Kate Dwyer’s August 19th New York
Times piece may have been “Don’t Worry, We’re Not Actually Monitoring Your
Productivity,” but its subject is nothing new – I experienced that as a
late-1980s data entry clerk in a shop that didn’t even have personal
computers. This article was about a simulation
of an unnamed program that harassed workers with laughably short-term progress
assessments. As I have written before,
that sort of thing is fertile soil for growing unions.
Now we know that at least one chief executive officer has
read science fiction! “Entirely
robot-run, Mezli launches its first ‘fully autonomous’ restaurant in
California” (Kristen Altus, Fox Business, September 2nd)
seems overdue if anything, but is actually in business in San Francisco’s
Mission Bay area – you can go there and order “Mediterranean-style bowls,” with
detail requests quantified into “more than 60,000 menu combinations,” and no
human will touch them until “customers retrieve their food from a smart
locker.” This store, less expensive to
build as well as to operate, does, for now, have people on locations to handle
complaints, but even those will be replaced by “email and phone contact.” There are nontechnical issues here, such as
potentially reliving the failure of mid-century automats to last, but this
company and the rest of us will learn a lot from this experience. I say such restaurants, helped by their
smaller footprints, will get at least a significant long-term niche.
Another reminder from my corporate past arrived in a
previous New York Times piece from Steve Lohr, “Why Isn’t New Technology
Making Us More Productive?” (May 24th). In the mid-1990s, managements were high on
Internet connections, but they were then mainly for games and pornography – the
user interfaces, reliability, and speed had not yet arrived. Among Lohr’s general principles, a “vital
ingredient” in building economies is “a nation’s skill in creating and commercializing
innovation, which makes investment and workers more productive.” After a remarkably standstill 20 years, we
may be improving by, for example, using artificial intelligence to assist instead
of replace help-desk personnel. We also
needed the reminder that simply creating advancements hardly means that they
will be implemented and durable, especially valuable since our problems are
almost always after that – see, for example, our experience with driverless
cars. It may turn out that many
improvements will have to sneak in through the back door of incremental changes
– but if they get there, we will, eventually, benefit. And that’s what matters.
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