Last week, I wrote about some ways statistics can be
misinterpreted, usually with the help of partisan thinkers who would like us to
do just that. Those aren’t the only sort
of flawed arguments. What other ones are
we getting in this 18-month presidential election season?
One is something both parties seem constantly guilty of,
which is attacking the most extreme views of the other side. That is not a logical gaffe as such, but
becomes one if you are fooled into thinking that the opposing statements Rush
Limbaugh or Paul Krugman, to name two of the worst offenders, cite is the other
party’s common view. Al Sharpton’s
opinions are not shared by most liberals, and most conservatives want nothing
to do with the excesses of Donald Trump.
So when someone on the other side quotes something insane or even just
unusually poorly judged, it does not qualify as a strike against the left or
the right; accordingly, protect yourself by considering how representative
something being vilified (and, I add, being publicized; many screwballs get
their best press, from their opponents, this way) actually is.
A second error is an old one – the ad hominem fallacy, or judging the person making a point instead of
the point itself. Congressional
Republicans have been stinking up the joint with this one for years, acting as
if, since they don’t like President Obama, everything he proposes or even says
must be wrong. He has had results endorsable
by the most conservative quarter of the country – the recent free trade bill,
his refusal to close or even reform the Guantanamo Bay prison, Osama bin
Laden’s elimination, the ever-stronger dollar, the stock market’s almost
threefold increase during his term, and the lack of new financial regulation –
but his political opponents are so determined to oppose him that they often
scarcely seem to be seeing what he’s actually doing or not doing. Almost everything that columnist and Fox News
spokesman Charles Krauthammer says seems to start with the idea that Obama was
wrong, which is logically impossible if not highly selective. Many Democrats did the same things when
George W. Bush was in office. “Criticize
the idea, not the person” was formal direction I received at AT&T
management discussion sessions a quarter century ago, and it’s still the way to
go.
Third, related, might be called “inflexibility about
platforms.” The Republicans are almost
all conservative these days, which the Merriam-Webster online dictionary
defines as “believing in the value of established and traditional practices in
politics and society.” Democrats, nearly
all liberal, therefore subscribe to “a political philosophy based on belief in
progress, the essential goodness of the human race, and the autonomy of the
individual and standing for the protection of political and civil liberties;
specifically: such a philosophy that
considers government as a crucial instrument for amelioration of social
inequities (as those involving race, gender, or class).” Those are reasonably cohesive attitudes, but,
since some areas clearly are in need of change and government involvement and
some areas obviously need to stay the same, it does not make sense to stick to
one view completely. So whether you
swing to the left or the right, be aware that there absolutely must be
exceptions to the general philosophy your party is advocating.
The fourth problem area is about unchecked emotions. We use words and phrases as symbols, and
often fail to look at their limitations.
To conservatives, police, soldiers, veterans, the flag, and mainstream
Christianity arouse positive feelings, but most liberals like them too, and few
Republicans would agree that they should have unlimited prominence in our society. Do we want a police state with no questioning
of their practices allowed, six-figure pensions for all former soldiers, or
decade-long prison sentences for abusing Old Glory? No – those would be too extreme. Therefore, there are limitations on what it
really means to say “support our troops” or “we need God back in our
lives.” Such statements, often expressed
by political candidates, are only emotion triggers and not meaningful. To avoid being swayed here, ask yourself what
if anything someone actually means when they invoke one of those, or if they
just want you to like them more.
The fifth logical gaffe is pack journalism, which
Merriam-Webster defines as being “practiced by reporters in a group and… marked
by uniformity of news coverage and lack of original thought or initiative.” Liberals are most at fault here, as, though
perceptions of media bias are often overrated, most news sources do tend to the
left. Sociologically, organizations in
which membership is valued develop orthodoxies, which you can see in everything
from the way NFL players go from sidelines to huddles to the way TV talk show
guests speak. These ways of approved
behavior also extend to opinions. When
the 55-mile-per-hour speed limit was in force, virtually every major commentator
said it was a good thing. In the 1990s, stories
did not question the war against drugs.
Until the past few months, there were no major-outlet articles suggesting
the euro was a bad idea. Many sharp
observers saw problems before, but only when these things started generating
bad track records did the communication prohibitions weaken. Some of our current unquestionable ideas
are: that climate change is both bad and
human-caused; that discrimination
against men in general and straight, white, Anglo men in particular is trivial
or nonexistent; that mainstream black culture deserves no blame for poor
economic and social results; and that women’s lower overall average wage is primarily
due to discrimination. I believe that all
of these notions will be discredited over time, and when they are, these bans will
disappear. In the meantime, watch out
for ideas which seem controversial but are never questioned in ordinary
newspapers, radio stations, or TV networks, since they probably need to be.
Overall, there are many different reasonable views out
there, and, if you prefer, many unreasonable ones as well. It is important to be an independent thinker
and choose to what to subscribe, regardless of what either political party
says. Just don’t be fooled by deceptive
appeals. They are as old as politics,
and won’t go away any sooner.
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