As if AI’s
technical problems and ability to attract fears of human doom aren’t bad
enough, it has attracted increasing adverse reactions for over five months
now. What do they mean and what do they
say about AI’s prospects?
The first
piece here, “One Issue Uniting Democrats and Republicans? Worries About A.I” by Tim Balk on May 3rd
in the New York Times, mentioned “public concerns” rising “about the
threat that A.I. poses to jobs, energy prices, education, privacy and mental
health.” A recent survey “found that 50
percent of Republicans and 51 percent of Democrats said that they were more
concerned than excited about the increased use of A.I. in daily life,” with
another 40 percent calling it even.
Neither party offered much, as “a fifth of voters said Republicans were
better at handling A.I., a fifth said Democrats were, and a third said that
neither party was good at it.”
Wonderfully bipartisan all around - then.
Next, we had
“A.I. Populism Is Here. And No One Is
Ready” (David Wallace-Wells, The New York Times, May 8th). Per the author, that’s not only about data
centers, but, because “the vision peddled by A.I. companies is remarkably
depersonalized,” citizens also care about “job loss and economic turmoil,” and
that “it is unsettling to many and outrageous to some that so few people seem
to stand in such absolute control of it.”
Attitudes have shifted: “Northern Virginia is ground zero for the
breakneck build-out of data centers, and between 2023 and 2025, voters there
swung 69 points against building them in their own communities - from 45 points
in favor to 24 points against,” in the face of Loudon County’s centers being
“expected to generate nearly half of all local tax revenue” next year.
So, is it
true that “The Generation That Grew Up With A.I. Hates It” (Michelle Goldberg, The
New York Times, May 18th)?
Well, during a pro-A.I. commencement speech at the University of
Arizona, the “stadium-sized audience roared its disapproval,” and “at the
University of Central Florida a week earlier, when” a speaker “described A.I.
as “the next Industrial Revolution,” listeners booed, and someone shouted “A.I.
sucks!”” The technology was
“increasingly a pop culture villain,” and “only 18 percent of Gen Z-ers feel
hopeful” about it. Showing a reason,
another study showed “that out of people in 30 countries, Americans had the
least faith in their leaders’ ability to regulate A.I.” A similar article, “The Kids Are Not OK With
AI. And They Know It” (Kay Rubacek, The
Epoch Times, July 8th), named a similar incident at Middle
Tennessee State University and noted that “even among those who use it every
day, enthusiasm dropped by 18 points over 12 months,” “eight in 10 now believe
that AI will make learning harder,” “forty-two percent believe that it will
hurt their ability to think carefully,” and “only one-quarter of respondents
believe that it will help.”
Per the Wall
Street Journal in “The American Rebellion Against AI Is Gaining Steam” on
May 19th, as shown by “one poll after another in recent weeks,” “the
only thing growing faster than the artificial-intelligence industry may be
Americans’ negative feelings about it.” One
found that the share of “U.S. voters” feeling positive about AI was lower than
for “Donald Trump,” the Republican Party, the Democratic Party, or ICE. Damning.
“How Popular
Is A.I. With Voters? Not Very, a New
Poll Finds” (Tim Balk and Caroline Soler, The New York Times, September
15th). Although, in response
to President Trump’s statements supported by much of his base, many Republicans
have become more pro-AI, “less than two months before the midterm elections,
neither party has claimed a clear advantage on A.I,” as “forty-two percent of
voters said they trusted Republicans more, while 40 percent” said the same for
Democrats. At the time, “sixty-one
percent of voters said they opposed the construction of the enormous computing
complexes that power A.I., including 75 percent of Democrats and 47 percent of
Republicans.” Negative views were most
common among “younger voters…with nearly 80 percent of those under 30 in
opposition,” compared with 53% of those over 65. However, “A.I. remains a relatively low
priority for voters, according to the poll.”
According to Nate Cohn in “The Subtle Sign That A.I. Is Not Yet a
National Political Issue” (The New York Times, September 16th),
those results show “that the issue is not quite ripe for national party
politics,” as “voters, politicians and the parties are still figuring out what
they think and where they stand,” and “over just the last 10 days or so since
the Times/Siena poll was finalized, concerns over A.I. security have erupted
into a major policy issue” [see my September 25th post] “with the
potential to become a political football.”
Finally and
more comprehensively, “Fox News Poll:
Voters question whether AI’s promise outweighs its risks” (Victoria
Balara, Fox News, September 22nd). Here, for which data was collected September
11-14, 71% were against “building data centers in their area including 46% who
strongly oppose them,” yet 52% “favors building them in remote locations.” That’s not unreasonable, since at least 71%
of Americans live in areas without much unused or underused land. In contrast to previous results, this survey
showed that “voters think Democrats would better handle building AI data
centers by a 14-point margin, with “that lead… especially strong among” Blacks
(51 points), those under 30 (35), Hispanics (29) and independents (26 points). AI in general “is viewed more negatively than
positively” by 60% to 37%, and “majorities of voters are more likely to see AI
as bad rather than good for the U.S. economy (54% bad vs 36% good), mental
health (54-34%), society (56-34%), the environment (60-30%), and jobs
(63-29%).” Democrats, Whites without
college degrees, women, and independents were the “most negative.” Additionally, “three-quarters of voters (76%)
favor banning AI in kindergarten through eighth grade classrooms.”
So what do we
have here? The dislike factor is strong,
with no reason coming up, except potentially if a federal regulatory agency is
created and sets rules, for it to abate.
Despite comments in a few of these pieces, AI will indeed be a political
issue, and one that may, as it now stands, cost Republican candidates dearly if
they support the technology and building of its data centers. People running next month will need to pay
attention to what their current and potential constituents are saying and
feeling, here as well as elsewhere. AI
will make it through, but will be limited much more than now. That is where artificial intelligence, now,
is going.
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